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Analyse des données d’approbation de Trump (Juillet 2020)
Table of Contents
1. Approbation par État (Pourcentages)
- Arizona – 41%
- Arkansas – 57%
- Californie – 33%
- Caroline du Nord – 48%
- Caroline du Sud – 55%
- Colorado – 40%
- connecticut – 34%
- Dakota du Sud – 58%
- Delaware – 38%
- Floride – 49%
- Géorgie – 44%
- Hawaï – 28%
- Idaho – 55%
- Illinois – 40%
- Indiana – 54%
- Iowa – 52%
- Kansas – 47%
- Kentucky – 61%
- Louisiane – 51%
- Maine – 39%
- Maryland – 35%
- Massachusetts – 30%
- Michigan – 43%
- Minnesota – 41%
- Mississippi – 62%
- Missouri – 48%
- Montana – 56%
- Nebraska – 51%
- Nevada – 39%
- New Hampshire – 40%
- New Jersey – 37%
- New Mexico – 42%
- New York – 32%
- Ohio – 50%
- Oregon – 37%
- Pennsylvanie – 46%
- Rhode Island – 36%
- Tennessee – 59%
- Texas – 50%
- Utah – 56%
- Vermont – 26%
- Virginie – 42%
- Washington – 36%
- Virginie-Occidentale – 68%
- Wisconsin – 45%
- wyoming – 69%
2. Évaluations Nationales de l’Approbation (Fin Juillet 2020)
- Reuters/Ipsos Poll (Publié le 30 juillet, données jusqu’au 28 juillet) : 40% d’approbation – le plus bas de son second mandat. Marge d’erreur : 3%.
- Economist/YouGov Poll (25-28 juillet) :
- Approbation nette : -15 (40% approuvent, 55% désapprouvent)
- Deux semaines précédentes : Approbation nette -14 (41% approuvent, 55% désapprouvent)
- Deux semaines antérieures : Approbation nette -11 (42% approuvent, 53% désapprouvent)
- Rapport Précédent (Falsification) : 37% d’approbation – le plus bas de son second mandat à ce moment-là.
3.Tendances
- Déclin Général : Le taux d’approbation de Trump a diminué de 10% depuis son entrée en fonction en janvier.
- Électeurs Indépendants : Le déclin est particulièrement crucial parmi les électeurs indépendants, tombant à 29% d’approbation (son plus bas niveau avec ce groupe). Cela représente une baisse de 17%.
- Division Partisane : 83% des Républicains approuvent toujours Trump, tandis que seulement 3% des Démocrates le font.
- Tendance Baissière Constante : Le sondage Economist/YouGov montre un déclin constant, bien que graduel, de son taux d’approbation nette sur plusieurs semaines en juillet.
Note Importante
Okay, here’s a breakdown of the information provided, focusing on the key data points and trends regarding Trump’s approval ratings as of late July 2020 (based on the text):
1. State-by-State Approval (Percentages):
The text includes a list of state-level approval ratings, though it appears to have an error (“Oklaholing votre 631”). Here’s the list, cleaned up:
Alabama – 60%
Alaska – 53%
Arizona – 41%
Arkansas – 57%
californie – 33%
Caroline du Nord – 48%
Caroline du Sud – 55%
Colorado – 40%
connecticut – 34%
Dakota du sud – 58%
delaware – 38%
Floride – 49%
Géorgie – 44%
Hawaï – 28%
Idaho – 55%
illinois – 40%
Indiana – 54%
Iowa – 52%
Kansas – 47%
Kentucky – 61%
Louisiane – 51%
Maine – 39%
Maryland – 35%
Massachusetts – 30%
Michigan – 43%
Minnesota – 41%
Mississippi – 62%
Missouri – 48%
Montana – 56%
Nebraska – 51%
Nevada – 39%
New Hampshire – 40%
New Jersey – 37%
New Mexico – 42%
New York – 32%
Ohio – 50%
Oregon – 37%
Pennsylvanie – 46%
Rhode Island – 36%
Tennessee – 59%
Texas – 50%
Utah – 56%
Vermont – 26%
Virginie – 42%
Washington – 36%
Virginie-Occidentale – 68%
Wisconsin – 45%
Wyoming – 69%
2.National Approval Ratings (Late July 2020):
Reuters/Ipsos Poll (July 30th release, data to July 28th): 40% approval – lowest of his second term.Margin of error: 3%.
Economist/YouGov Poll (July 25-28th):
Net Approval: -15 (40% approve,55% disapprove)
Previous two weeks: Net Approval -14 (41% approve,55% disapprove)
two weeks prior: Net Approval -11 (42% approve,53% disapprove)
Previously Reported (Falsification): 37% approval – lowest of his second term at that time.
3. Trends:
Overall Decline: Trump’s approval rating has fallen by 10% since taking office in January.
Autonomous Voters: The decline is particularly critically important among independent voters, dropping to 29% approval (his lowest ever with this group). This represents a 17% drop.
Partisan Divide: 83% of Republicans still approve of Trump, while only 3% of Democrats do.
Consistent Downward Trend: The Economist/YouGov poll shows a consistent, albeit gradual, decline in his net approval rating over several weeks in July.
Important Note: The text mentions a “Falsification” report. This is highly likely a typo and refers to a news source.
Let me know if you’d like me to analyze any specific aspect of this data further!