Contexte:
Cette recherche s’appuie sur les données de l’Étude Mondiale de la Charge des Maladies de 2021 pour évaluer la prévalence et les facteurs de risque contribuant au cancer gastrique (CG) en Asie de l’Est de 1990 à 2021.
Mots-clés:
analyze âge-période-cohorte; cancer gastrique; analyse joinpoint; mortalité; facteurs de risque.
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Background:
This research leverages data from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study to assess the prevalence and contributing risk factors for gastric cancer (GC) across East Asia from 1990 to 2021.
Methods:
The study analyzed incidence rates,age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR),mortality figures,age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR),disability-adjusted life years (DALYs),disability-adjusted life year rates (ASDR),and the burden attributable to various risk factors associated with GC in East Asia. Annual percentage changes were calculated to identify temporal trends across age groups. A Bayesian age-period-cohort model was employed to forecast the GC burden from 2021 to 2035.All statistical analyses were performed using R software (version 4.4.1; R Foundation for Statistical Computing).
Conclusions:
Despite a decline in GC burden between 1990 and 2021, the disease remains a significant public health concern in East Asia. Addressing this challenge requires prioritizing both primary and secondary prevention strategies, including mitigating modifiable risk factors and enhancing early detection efforts.