US Iran Israel conflict

Trump Predicts Short Reign for Iran’s New Supreme Leader, Signals Potential for Conflict

WASHINGTON (AP) — Former U.S. President Donald Trump has sharply criticized the recent appointment of Mojtaba Khamenei as Iran’s new Supreme Leader, predicting he will not “last long” and suggesting a return to conflict is likely if the new leader continues his predecessor’s policies.

Trump’s comments, made in a series of interviews with Fox News, Axios, and ABC News, underscore escalating tensions following the selection of Khamenei, the son of the late Ali Khamenei, to lead the Islamic Republic. Experts suggest the move signals a defiance of the United States and Israel and an intention to continue a hardline stance.

“I don’t believe he can live in peace,” Trump told Fox News, expressing his disapproval of the choice. He further stated in an interview with Axios that Khamenei’s succession is “unacceptable,” and he had hoped for a leader who would “bring harmony and peace to Iran.”

Trump also alluded to past U.S. involvement in Venezuela, suggesting the United States should have a role in selecting Iran’s leader. He specifically referenced Delcy Rodriguez, a key figure in the Venezuelan government, implying a similar level of U.S. influence should have been exerted in Iran.

The former president indicated that if Khamenei continues the policies of his father, the U.S. could be drawn back into war “in five years.” He stated on ABC News that Khamenei would need “approval from us” to remain in power, adding, “If he doesn’t get approval from us, he’s not going to last long.”

According to Clement Therme, of the International Institute for Iranian Studies, Khamenei’s elevation demonstrates that “the hardest of hardliners” are now in control of the Iranian system.

Trump also suggested any potential conflict could be “short-term,” as reported by Al Jazeera, amid rising concerns about the impact on global oil prices.

The appointment of Mojtaba Khamenei has drawn ire from the U.S., but also represents a clear signal of intent from Iran’s ultraconservatives, experts say.

Pakistan Braces for Economic Strain as Strait of Hormuz Closure Threatens Fuel Supplies

Karachi, Pakistan – Pakistan is scrambling to mitigate a looming energy crisis triggered by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway for global oil transport. The country, already facing significant economic challenges, now risks severe fuel shortages with current petrol and diesel stocks sufficient for only around 28 days, according to Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb. Crude oil reserves stand at a mere 10 days, and LPG supplies at 15.

The crisis stems from Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) declaring control over the Strait of Hormuz, restricting passage to vessels from the United States, Israel, Europe, and their allies. This action, taken amid a joint military operation by the US and Israel against Iran, effectively disrupts a critical supply route. Roughly one-fifth of the world’s oil travels through the strait, making it a cornerstone of global energy markets.

Pakistan heavily relies on diesel imports from Kuwait, all of which must transit the Strait of Hormuz, according to reports. The government is now considering measures reminiscent of the COVID-19 pandemic to curb fuel consumption, including mandatory work-from-home policies and a shift to online classes. Corporations may be encouraged to implement two days of remote work weekly, with only essential staff required in offices. Ride-sharing initiatives are also being explored.

The Shehbaz Sharif government is also contemplating a weekly revision of petrol pricing, alongside compensation for oil companies facing increased insurance and import costs.

The situation is particularly precarious for Pakistan, which is already grappling with a conflict with Afghanistan and a struggling economy. Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar recently engaged with Iranian officials, attempting to convey concerns that Pakistan’s defense agreement with Saudi Arabia could inadvertently draw them into the wider conflict.

The Strait of Hormuz, a narrow channel between Iran and Oman connecting the Persian Gulf to the Arabian Sea, is approximately 55 kilometers wide at its narrowest point. Its strategic importance to global energy trade cannot be overstated.

Trump : Le nouveau leader iranien ne “vivra pas en paix”

Strait d’Ormuz : Pakistan envisage des mesures d’économie d’énergie

Pakistan Braces for Economic Strain as Strait of Hormuz Closure Threatens Fuel Supplies