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International

Pétrole : hausse des prix après les attaques iraniennes et possible levée des sanctions

by Omar Benali International
written by Omar Benali International

Tensions in the Gulf Ease as U.S. Considers Lifting Sanctions on Iranian Oil

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates – Oil prices dipped Friday as the United States signaled it may soon remove sanctions on Iranian crude oil currently held in tankers, a move aimed at stabilizing global markets rattled by escalating tensions in the Middle East. The potential easing of restrictions comes after Iran attacked energy facilities in the region following a strike on its South Pars gas field, and its closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent crude futures for May delivery fell 0.4% to $108.23 per barrel during early European trading, while West Texas Intermediate futures for April delivery dropped 0.6% to $95.56, according to CNBC.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent indicated Thursday that Washington is prepared to act to curb soaring prices. “In the coming days, we may unsanction the Iranian oil that’s on the water, about 140 million barrels,” Bessent told Fox Business Network. He added that releasing the sanctioned crude would help cap prices over the next 10 to 14 days.

The move reflects a growing concern over the economic impact of the conflict. According to the Guardian, Bessent’s announcement came as Washington seeks to curb prices soaring over Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

The U.S. believes tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz will increase before Navy escorts are deployed, Bessent said, as reported by CNBC.

Citi analysts predict Brent and WTI could climb to $120 per barrel in the near term, and potentially $150 in a “bull-case” scenario if disruptions worsen. However, they anticipate de-escalation within four to six weeks, which would allow Brent to fall back to $70–$80 by year-end.

Saudi Arabian oil officials reportedly expect crude prices could surpass $180 a barrel if disruptions persist beyond late April, the Wall Street Journal reported.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that Israel is assisting U.S. efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and claimed Iran no longer possesses the capability to enrich uranium or produce ballistic missiles, suggesting a potential for a quicker resolution to the conflict, according to wire reports.

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Nouvelles

Pétrole : Hausse des prix face aux tensions Iran-Israël

by Elodie Martin - Nouvelles
written by Elodie Martin - Nouvelles

Tensions au Moyen-Orient : les prix du pétrole flambent face aux menaces de l’Iran et aux frappes israéliennes

WASHINGTON – Les prix du pétrole ont bondi de plus de 5% mercredi, alimentés par une escalade des tensions entre Israël et l’Iran et par les risques accrus pesant sur les infrastructures énergétiques de la région. Le baril de Brent, référence internationale, a atteint 109,50 dollars à 10h33, heure de l’Est, tandis que le pétrole américain s’échangeait à 99,05 dollars, en hausse de près de 3%.

L’escalade actuelle fait suite à des frappes israéliennes contre la plus grande installation de traitement de gaz iranienne, située dans la province de Boushehr, selon des informations rapportées par les Times of Israël et le Jerusalem Post. En représailles, l’Iran a menacé de cibler des installations pétrolières en Arabie saoudite, aux Émirats arabes unis et au Qatar. Le Gardien de la révolution iranienne a mis en garde la population contre la proximité de ces sites, les qualifiant de « cibles légitimes et prioritaires », selon les médias d’État iraniens.

Ces menaces interviennent après des attaques iraniennes contre des infrastructures énergétiques aux Émirats arabes unis en début de semaine. Une intensification des attaques contre les installations pétrolières et gazières pourrait aggraver les perturbations de l’approvisionnement déjà importantes, notamment en raison de la diminution du trafic de tankers dans le détroit d’Ormuz.

Les analystes de Citi prévoient une hausse des prix du Brent jusqu’à 120 dollars par baril dans les prochains jours, anticipant une perturbation de l’approvisionnement de 11 à 16 millions de barils par jour en avril. Dans un scénario où les attaques régionales se généraliseraient et le détroit d’Ormuz resterait fermé pendant une période prolongée, le prix moyen du Brent pourrait atteindre 130 dollars par baril au deuxième et troisième trimestre.

« Le marché devrait continuer à monter jusqu’à ce qu’il trouve un prix ou un événement qui incite les États-Unis à mettre fin à leur opération militaire », ont déclaré les analystes de Citi dans une note adressée à leurs clients.

Face à cette situation, le président Donald Trump a annoncé une dérogation de deux mois à la loi Jones Act, dans le but de freiner la flambée des prix des carburants aux États-Unis. Cette loi exige que le transport de marchandises entre les ports nationaux soit effectué par des navires américains. La dérogation permettra également aux navires étrangers de transporter du pétrole et d’autres fournitures énergétiques aux États-Unis, réduisant potentiellement les coûts de transport.

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International

Guerre Iran-Israël : le pétrole flirte avec les 100 $

by Omar Benali International
written by Omar Benali International

Oil Prices Remain Elevated as Iran Conflict Enters Third Week, Strait of Hormuz Remains Closed

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — Brent crude oil hovered near $100 a barrel Friday as the conflict between the U.S., Israel and Iran stretched into its third week, with no immediate end in sight. The continued closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital global oil shipping route, is fueling market anxieties and raising concerns about a potential global economic shock.

Brent futures were down 1.13% at $99.32 per barrel at 7:49 a.m. ET, after surpassing $100 on Thursday. West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell by 2.07% to $93.75 per barrel.

The surge in oil prices follows a dramatic climb last week, with Brent rising by more than 9% and WTI marking its best week since 1983. The previous week saw the largest weekly gain in oil prices since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.

The situation escalated overnight when former U.S. President Donald Trump indicated that a resolution to the conflict wasn’t imminent, stating the U.S. possesses “unparalleled firepower, unlimited ammunition, and plenty of time.” He urged followers to “watch what happens” to the Iranian regime.

Trump reportedly told G7 leaders earlier this week that Iran was “about to surrender,” according to Axios. However, Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, countered with a vow to continue fighting, delivered via state television.

Several foreign ships in or near the Strait of Hormuz have been struck by ammunition this week, exacerbating fears of a prolonged war and its potential impact on the global economy.

Ebrahim Zolfaqari, spokesperson for Iran’s military command, warned on Wednesday, “Get ready for oil to be $200 a barrel, because the oil price depends on regional security, which you have destabilised,” Reuters reported.

Despite an unprecedented release of 400 million barrels of oil from the International Energy Agency’s emergency reserves and the temporary lifting of some sanctions on Russian exports by the White House, oil prices remain elevated.

Barclays’ Emmanuel Cau noted growing investor nervousness, despite an initial expectation of a short-lived conflict. “Investors still believe in the Trump put, hence global equities are not down as much as in past oil shocks,” Cau said. “But nervousness is growing by the day and the longer the Strait of Hormuz stays closed the more stagflationary markets will turn. Watch central banks next week amid hawkish repricing in rates.”

Amjad Bseisu, CEO of British petroleum production company EnQuest, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Europe” that the oil market has “never seen something of this magnitude before.” He warned that each day of delay results in another 20 million barrels removed from the market, with continuing repercussions.

Bseisu drew parallels to the Arab embargo of the 1970s, which led to a quadrupling of oil prices. “Then we saw quadrupling of prices, and I think we’ve seen prices here come up 50% but I do think this is going to be quite a long run,” he said.

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International

Pétrole : prix en hausse après les tensions Iran-Israël

by Omar Benali International
written by Omar Benali International

Oil Prices Surge as Middle East Tensions Escalate

By [Your Name], International Editor, nouvelles-du-monde.com

Oil prices jumped to a five-month high Friday as escalating tensions in the Middle East raised concerns about disruptions to global energy supplies. Brent crude futures climbed 4.5% to $89.23 a barrel by 6:58 a.m. ET, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose 6.3% to $86.06, levels not seen since April 2024.

The price surge follows reports of retaliatory attacks between Iran and Israel, and warnings from Qatar that the conflict could lead to a significant reduction in oil exports from the Gulf region. Qatar’s energy minister, Saad al-Kaabi, told the Financial Times that crude prices could reach $150 a barrel in the coming weeks if oil tankers are unable to transit the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping route. He suggested that Gulf exporters may be forced to declare force majeure – a clause absolving them of contractual obligations due to unforeseen circumstances – in the coming days.

“Everybody that has not called for force majeure we expect will do so in the next few days that this continues,” al-Kaabi said. “All exporters in the Gulf region will have to call force majeure.”

The situation is already impacting energy markets. The conflict, now in its seventh day, is bringing traffic in the Strait of Hormuz to a near standstill, disrupting energy production.

While the immediate impact is higher prices, some analysts suggest the longer-term effect could be deflationary for the U.S. Atakan Bakiskan, chief U.S. economist at Berenberg, explained to CNBC’s Squawk Box Europe that higher energy prices reduce consumer purchasing power, potentially curbing demand for other goods and ultimately lowering core inflation.

The average price for a gallon of regular gasoline in the U.S. has already risen nearly 27 cents in the week leading up to Thursday, reaching $3.25, according to data from AAA.

The U.S. government has taken steps to mitigate potential disruptions. A 30-day waiver was issued to India, the world’s third-largest oil importer, allowing it to resume purchases of Russian oil, despite previous 25% tariffs imposed on such imports. Reuters reported that the U.S. Treasury is also considering measures to curb energy price spikes, including potential interventions in the oil futures market.

Crude prices are on track for their largest weekly gain since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in early 2022, highlighting the sensitivity of global energy markets to geopolitical instability.

Embedded CNBC Chart: Crude oil prices

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International

Frappe américaine en Iran : tensions montées, marchés en alerte

by Omar Benali International
written by Omar Benali International

U.S., Israel Launch Strikes Against Iran, Sparking Fears of Wider Conflict

TEHRAN, Iran (AP) — The United States and Israel launched coordinated strikes against Iran on Saturday, escalating tensions in the Middle East and prompting retaliatory attacks from Tehran. The strikes targeted multiple locations within Iran, including areas near its capital, Tehran, and cities like Isfahan, Qom, Karaj and Kermanshah.

U.S. President Donald Trump confirmed the “major combat operations” in a video message posted on his Truth Social account, stating the objective was to “defend the American people by eliminating imminent threats from the Iranian regime.” He described the Iranian government as a “vicious group of very hard, terrible people.”

Israel’s attacks reportedly targeted Iran’s supreme leader and president, according to sources. Explosions were reported in cities across the Middle East, including Jerusalem, as Iran launched counterattacks. Qatar and the United Arab Emirates condemned Iran’s missile strikes against their territories.

“The State of Qatar expresses its strong condemnation of the targeting of Qatari territory with Iranian ballistic missiles,” Qatar’s Ministry of Defense said in a statement. The UAE reported intercepting multiple ballistic missiles.

The Israel Defense Forces confirmed identifying missiles launched from Iran toward Israel and activated defensive systems.

Bahrain also reported a missile attack targeting a service center of the U.S. Fifth Fleet, while the U.S. embassy in Manama issued a security alert urging citizens to shelter in place due to an “imminent drone/missile attack.” A similar shelter-in-place alert was issued by the U.S. embassy in Abu Dhabi.

The attacks follow the collapse of negotiations aimed at curbing Iran’s nuclear program. Trump had warned earlier in February that “really bad things” would happen if Tehran did not reach a deal. The U.S. and Iran held a third round of talks in Switzerland on Thursday, but disagreements over Iran’s ballistic missile program proved to be a major sticking point.

Trump asserted that Iran has continued to pursue nuclear weapons despite ongoing negotiations, referencing a previous operation, “Operation Midnight Hammer,” which he claimed obliterated Iran’s nuclear program at Fordow and Isfahan.

A senior Middle East diplomat, speaking anonymously, suggested Israel intervened to disrupt the diplomatic process. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu expressed gratitude to Trump for his “historic leadership” and insisted Iran “must not be allowed to arm itself with nuclear weapons.”

Iran condemned the attacks as a violation of its sovereignty.

French President Emmanuel Macron warned of “grave consequences” from the escalating conflict and called for an urgent meeting of the United Nations Security Council. Russia also condemned the strikes, criticizing the timing given the ongoing negotiations.

The escalating tensions have already impacted energy markets, with oil prices climbing to six-month highs. Iran, a major oil producer and a key player in the Strait of Hormuz, holds significant strategic importance.

— Riya Bhattacharjee, Victor Loh and Emma Graham contributed to this report.

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International

Pétrole : Hausse des prix face aux tensions Iran-États-Unis

by Omar Benali International
written by Omar Benali International

Tensions croissantes avec l’Iran font grimper les prix du pétrole, Trump brandit la menace de la force

WASHINGTON – Les prix du pétrole ont bondi de plus de 2% mercredi, alimentés par des déclarations alarmantes du vice-président JD Vance concernant l’impasse des négociations nucléaires avec l’Iran et par la réaffirmation du président Donald Trump de son droit à recourir à la force militaire. La situation, déjà tendue, suscite des inquiétudes quant à la stabilité des approvisionnements énergétiques mondiaux.

Le baril de pétrole brut américain (U.S. crude) a clôturé à 63,89 dollars, en hausse de 2,5%, tandis que le Brent, référence internationale, a atteint 69,04 dollars, soit une augmentation de 2,4%. Cette flambée des prix intervient après une journée de volatilité, marquée par des signaux contradictoires émanant de Téhéran et de Washington.

Mardi, le ministre iranien des Affaires étrangères, Abbas Araghchi, avait qualifié les discussions avec les émissaires américains Steve Witkoff et Jared Kushner à Genève de “constructives”, évoquant un accord de principe sur les lignes directrices. Cette annonce avait initialement apaisé les marchés, les investisseurs espérant une issue diplomatique.

Cependant, JD Vance a rapidement démenti tout progrès significatif. “En un sens, cela s’est bien passé, ils ont accepté de se rencontrer à nouveau”, a-t-il déclaré à Fox News. “Mais d’autres aspects sont très clairs : le président a fixé des lignes rouges que les Iraniens ne sont pas encore prêts à reconnaître et à aborder.”

Vance a souligné que Trump n’hésitera pas à utiliser la force si la diplomatie échoue à stopper le programme nucléaire iranien. “Nous disposons d’une armée très puissante – le président a montré sa volonté de l’utiliser”, a-t-il ajouté.

Ces déclarations alarmantes sont corroborées par des sources citées par Axios, qui indiquent qu’une éventuelle campagne militaire américaine contre l’Iran serait massive, de plusieurs semaines et ressemblerait davantage à une guerre à part entière qu’à une opération ciblée.

L’escalade verbale s’accompagne de mouvements militaires concrets. L’Iran a mené des exercices militaires dans le détroit d’Ormuz, une voie maritime cruciale pour le transport du pétrole, par laquelle transite environ un tiers des exportations mondiales de pétrole brut. Selon les données de la société de conseil énergétique Kpler, Téhéran a temporairement fermé une partie du détroit pendant ces manœuvres, suscitant des craintes de perturbations des flux pétroliers.

Les États-Unis ont renforcé leur présence militaire dans la région, avec le déploiement du porte-avions USS Abraham Lincoln et l’envoi du USS Gerald Ford. Trump a justifié ce déploiement par la nécessité d’avoir une “assurance” en cas d’échec des négociations. “Si nous n’avons pas d’accord, nous en aurons besoin”, a-t-il déclaré aux journalistes.

L’impact potentiel d’un conflit dans la région est considérable. Le détroit d’Ormuz est un point d’étranglement stratégique pour l’approvisionnement énergétique mondial. Une interruption des flux pétroliers pourrait entraîner une flambée des prix, déstabiliser les marchés financiers et avoir des conséquences économiques majeures à l’échelle mondiale.

Les tensions actuelles s’inscrivent dans un contexte plus large de remise en question de l’accord nucléaire iranien, conclu en 2015 et abandonné par les États-Unis en 2018. L’administration Trump exige que l’Iran accepte des restrictions plus strictes sur son programme nucléaire, ainsi qu’un engagement à ne pas soutenir les groupes armés dans la région.

La situation reste extrêmement volatile et l’issue des négociations est incertaine. Les prochains jours seront cruciaux pour déterminer si la diplomatie peut l’emporter sur la menace de la force.

[Vidéo intégrée de Fox News avec JD Vance : https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dRh16upOwU8]

[Article de référence Axios : https://www.axios.com/2026/02/18/iran-war-trump-military-strikes-nuclear-talks]

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